A Loading-dependent Model of Probabilistic Cascading Failure

نویسندگان

  • Ian Dobson
  • Benjamin A. Carreras
چکیده

We propose an analytically tractable model of loading-dependent cascading failure that captures some of the salient features of large blackouts of electric power transmission systems. This leads to a new application and derivation of the quasibinomial distribution and its generalization to a saturating form with an extended parameter range. The saturating quasibinomial distribution of the number of failed components has a power law region at a critical loading and a significant probability of total failure at higher loadings.

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تاریخ انتشار 2004